000 04199nam a22005535i 4500
001 978-1-4419-6235-5
003 DE-He213
005 20140220084509.0
007 cr nn 008mamaa
008 100917s2010 xxu| s |||| 0|eng d
020 _a9781441962355
_9978-1-4419-6235-5
024 7 _a10.1007/978-1-4419-6235-5
_2doi
050 4 _aQA76.76.A65
072 7 _aJ
_2bicssc
072 7 _aUB
_2bicssc
072 7 _aCOM018000
_2bisacsh
072 7 _aSOC000000
_2bisacsh
082 0 4 _a004
_223
100 1 _aKott, Alexander.
_eeditor.
245 1 0 _aEstimating Impact
_h[electronic resource] :
_bA Handbook of Computational Methods and Models for Anticipating Economic, Social, Political and Security Effects in International Interventions /
_cedited by Alexander Kott, Gary Citrenbaum.
264 1 _aBoston, MA :
_bSpringer US :
_bImprint: Springer,
_c2010.
300 _aXVIII, 362 p. 100 illus.
_bonline resource.
336 _atext
_btxt
_2rdacontent
337 _acomputer
_bc
_2rdamedia
338 _aonline resource
_bcr
_2rdacarrier
347 _atext file
_bPDF
_2rda
505 0 _aIntroduction: Judgment and Computation -- Emerging Techniques and Tools -- Politics and Power -- Economics and Markets -- Media and Influence -- Governance and Society -- Groups and Violence -- Insurgency and Security -- Crime and Corruption -- Visualization and Comprehension -- Verification and Validation -- Conclusions: Anticipation and Action.
520 _aInternational interventions are among the most controversial and complex of human endeavors. In today's smaller, flatter, and interdependent world, interventions of all sorts - economic sanctions or aid, natural-disaster relief, various diplomatic or civil-military engagements—are likely to persist and to become yet more complex and difficult. The last decade has seen an explosive growth of research on methods and tools, particularly computational tools, for estimating effects of interventions. In ESTIMATING IMPACT Alexander Kott and Gary Citrenbaum, with a stellar group of contributors, offer readers a broad and practical introduction to computational approaches for anticipating effects of interventions. International interventions and estimating effects of such interventions on human, economic, social, and political variables are of critical importance to business analysts and planners as well as to government policy planners and non-governmental humanitarian organizations. In current practice, intervention-related decisions, planning, and effects estimating rely on historical analogies, on qualitative theories, on expert opinions, experience, and intuition. ESTIMATING IMPACT argues for a broader, more balanced view. It describes how emerging computational techniques can help analysts, planners, and decision-makers in a number of ways: estimating the range of likely future conditions, highlighting unwarranted assumptions, generating alternative approaches, elucidating details and uncovering the potential for unanticipated effects. While the field is still very young, the trend is unmistakable: there is a rising recognition that quantitative, computational methods are indispensable elements—although by no means panaceas —for making prudent decisions regarding international interventions.
650 0 _aComputer science.
650 0 _aSocial sciences
_xData processing.
650 0 _aMathematics.
650 0 _aEngineering mathematics.
650 0 _aEconomics, Mathematical.
650 0 _aOperations research.
650 1 4 _aComputer Science.
650 2 4 _aComputer Appl. in Social and Behavioral Sciences.
650 2 4 _aGame Theory, Economics, Social and Behav. Sciences.
650 2 4 _aPolitical Science, general.
650 2 4 _aOperation Research/Decision Theory.
650 2 4 _aGame Theory/Mathematical Methods.
650 2 4 _aAppl.Mathematics/Computational Methods of Engineering.
700 1 _aCitrenbaum, Gary.
_eeditor.
710 2 _aSpringerLink (Online service)
773 0 _tSpringer eBooks
776 0 8 _iPrinted edition:
_z9781441962348
856 4 0 _uhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4419-6235-5
912 _aZDB-2-SCS
999 _c110596
_d110596