A Practitioner's Guide to State and Local Population Projections (Record no. 100015)

000 -LEADER
fixed length control field 04074nam a22004815i 4500
001 - CONTROL NUMBER
control field 978-94-007-7551-0
003 - CONTROL NUMBER IDENTIFIER
control field DE-He213
005 - DATE AND TIME OF LATEST TRANSACTION
control field 20140220082944.0
007 - PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION FIXED FIELD--GENERAL INFORMATION
fixed length control field cr nn 008mamaa
008 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--GENERAL INFORMATION
fixed length control field 131216s2013 ne | s |||| 0|eng d
020 ## - INTERNATIONAL STANDARD BOOK NUMBER
International Standard Book Number 9789400775510
-- 978-94-007-7551-0
024 7# - OTHER STANDARD IDENTIFIER
Standard number or code 10.1007/978-94-007-7551-0
Source of number or code doi
050 #4 - LIBRARY OF CONGRESS CALL NUMBER
Classification number HB848-3697
072 #7 - SUBJECT CATEGORY CODE
Subject category code JHBD
Source bicssc
072 #7 - SUBJECT CATEGORY CODE
Subject category code SOC006000
Source bisacsh
082 04 - DEWEY DECIMAL CLASSIFICATION NUMBER
Classification number 304.6
Edition number 23
100 1# - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Smith, Stanley K.
Relator term author.
245 12 - TITLE STATEMENT
Title A Practitioner's Guide to State and Local Population Projections
Medium [electronic resource] /
Statement of responsibility, etc by Stanley K. Smith, Jeff Tayman, David A. Swanson.
264 #1 -
-- Dordrecht :
-- Springer Netherlands :
-- Imprint: Springer,
-- 2013.
300 ## - PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION
Extent XV, 411 p. 26 illus.
Other physical details online resource.
336 ## -
-- text
-- txt
-- rdacontent
337 ## -
-- computer
-- c
-- rdamedia
338 ## -
-- online resource
-- cr
-- rdacarrier
347 ## -
-- text file
-- PDF
-- rda
490 1# - SERIES STATEMENT
Series statement The Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis,
International Standard Serial Number 1389-6784 ;
Volume number/sequential designation 37
505 0# - FORMATTED CONTENTS NOTE
Formatted contents note Chapter 1: Rationale, Terminology, Scope -- Chapter 2: Fundamental  of Population Analysis -- Chapter 3: Overview of the Cohort-Component Method -- Chapter 4: Mortality -- Chapter 5: fertility -- Chapter 6: Migration -- Chapter 7: Implementing the Cohort-Component Method -- Chapter 8: Extrapolation Methods -- Chapter 9: Structural and Microsimulation Models -- Chapter 10: Special Adjustments -- Chapter 11: Related Projections -- Chapter 12: Evaluating Projections -- Chapter 13 Forecast Accuracy and Bias -- Chapter 14: A Practical Guide to Small-Area Projections -- Epilogues: Some Final Thoughts -- Glossary -- Index.
520 ## - SUMMARY, ETC.
Summary, etc This book focuses on the methodology and analysis of state and local population projections. It describes the most commonly used data sources and application techniques for four types of projection methods: cohort-component, trend extrapolation, structural models, and microsimulation. It covers the components of population growth, sources of data, the formation of assumptions, the development of evaluation criteria, and the determinants of forecast accuracy. It considers the strengths and weaknesses of various projection methods and pays special attention to the unique problems that characterize small-area projections.    The authors provide practical guidance to demographers, planners, market analysts, and others called on to construct state and local population projections. They use many examples and illustrations and present suggestions for dealing with special populations, unique circumstances, and inadequate or unreliable data. They describe techniques for controlling one set of projections to another, for interpolating between time points, for sub-dividing age groups, and for constructing projections of population-related variables (e.g., school enrollment, households). They discuss the role of judgment and the importance of the political context in which projections are made. They emphasize the “utility” of projections, or their usefulness for decision making in a world of competing demands and limited resources.   This comprehensive book will provide readers with an understanding not only of the mechanics of the most commonly used population projection methods, but also of the many complex issues affecting their construction, interpretation, evaluation, and use.
650 #0 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Social sciences.
650 #0 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Social sciences
General subdivision Methodology.
650 #0 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Demography.
650 14 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Social Sciences.
650 24 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Demography.
650 24 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Methodology of the Social Sciences.
700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Tayman, Jeff.
Relator term author.
700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Swanson, David A.
Relator term author.
710 2# - ADDED ENTRY--CORPORATE NAME
Corporate name or jurisdiction name as entry element SpringerLink (Online service)
773 0# - HOST ITEM ENTRY
Title Springer eBooks
776 08 - ADDITIONAL PHYSICAL FORM ENTRY
Display text Printed edition:
International Standard Book Number 9789400775503
830 #0 - SERIES ADDED ENTRY--UNIFORM TITLE
Uniform title The Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis,
-- 1389-6784 ;
Volume number/sequential designation 37
856 40 - ELECTRONIC LOCATION AND ACCESS
Uniform Resource Identifier http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-94-007-7551-0
912 ## -
-- ZDB-2-SHU

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